Politics

10 Danger States for Tinubu, APC as INEC Takes Fresh Action on Atiku, ADC

Published

5 hours ago

The political landscape ahead of the 2027 presidential election may have taken a new turn following reports that former Vice President Atiku Abubakar has secured the necessary clearance to contest the polls, setting the stage for another fierce battle against President Bola Tinubu and the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).

While the APC remains firmly in control at the federal level, political analysts believe several states could become major headaches for President Tinubu’s re-election bid if Atiku successfully mobilises opposition forces and builds strong alliances across the country.

Adamawa, Atiku’s home state, is expected to remain one of his strongest political strongholds, with the APC facing an uphill task to make significant gains.

Bauchi could also prove difficult for the ruling party due to the influence of Governor Bala Mohammed and the strength of the opposition structure in the state.

In Sokoto, the political machinery of former governor Aminu Tambuwal may boost Atiku’s chances if both leaders work together ahead of the election.

Kano, Nigeria’s most populous northern state, is likely to remain one of the biggest battlegrounds due to its enormous voting strength and complex political alliances.

Kaduna is another state to watch as changing political sentiments and shifting loyalties continue to reshape the state’s electoral landscape.

Despite producing former President Muhammadu Buhari, Katsina may not be an easy win for the APC if opposition parties succeed in capitalising on economic and security concerns.

Zamfara and Plateau are also expected to witness intense political competition as voters weigh security and development issues ahead of the polls.

In the North-Central region, Benue State could emerge as a decisive battleground due to concerns over insecurity and farmers-herders conflicts.

Outside the North, Rivers State remains one of the biggest prizes in Nigerian politics, and any strong opposition coalition could make the oil-rich state difficult terrain for the APC.

With more than a year to the election, alliances, defections and the state of the economy are expected to shape the final outcome. For now, political observers believe these ten states could determine whether President Tinubu secures a second term or faces the toughest electoral challenge of his political career.