15 Danger States for APC as Atiku Gets Green Light for 2027 Race

The political atmosphere ahead of the 2027 presidential election has become more competitive following the Court of Appeal judgment that cleared major legal hurdles for the African Democratic Congress (ADC).

The development has boosted confidence within the opposition, with former Vice President Atiku Abubakar reaffirming his readiness for the race.

Although no election outcome can be predicted with certainty, political observers believe several states could become key battlegrounds where the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) may face tougher contests if the opposition remains united.

15 States That Could Pose Major Challenges for APC

1. Adamawa
Atiku Abubakar’s home state remains one of the opposition’s strongest political bases.

2. Bauchi
The PDP has maintained considerable influence, making Bauchi a major battleground.

3. Sokoto
The state’s political landscape remains highly competitive, with opposition structures still active.

4. Kaduna
A diverse voting population and intense political competition could make Kaduna difficult for the APC.

5. Kano
Nigeria’s most populous voting state remains crucial. Any united opposition could make Kano fiercely contested.

6. Katsina
Traditionally influential in northern politics, Katsina is expected to witness intense campaigning.

7. Jigawa
Growing political realignments could make Jigawa more competitive than in previous elections.

8. Taraba
The opposition continues to enjoy strong grassroots support across several local government areas.

9. Plateau
Voting patterns in Plateau have remained competitive, with both major blocs seeking dominance.

10. Benue
Security concerns and local political dynamics may significantly influence voter decisions.

11. Rivers
Despite recent political shifts, Rivers remains one of Nigeria’s biggest electoral prize states.

12. Delta
The opposition has historically maintained a strong presence in the state.

13. Akwa Ibom
Political alignments ahead of 2027 could make Akwa Ibom another difficult state for the APC.

14. Osun
Osun has repeatedly produced closely fought elections, making it an important swing state.

15. Oyo
With its large voting population and evolving political alliances, Oyo is expected to remain highly competitive.

Why These States Matter

Political analysts believe these states could become critical for several reasons:

They have large voting populations.
Many have a history of closely contested elections.
Several remain traditional opposition strongholds.
Coalition politics could reshape voting patterns.
Local issues, economic conditions, and candidate popularity may play decisive roles.
Conclusion