Oil & Gas
Crude supply: Modular refineries back Dangote, seek Tinubu’s intervention
Modular refineries, on Sunday, confirmed the concerns raised by Africa’s richest man, Aliko Dangote, on the fact that some mafias in the oil sector were bent at stopping in-country refining of crude oil for the production of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly called petrol, and other refined petroleum products.
Operators of modular refineries stated that they had raised this concern severally in the past but received no positive feedback, stressing that the Chairman of Dangote Petroleum Refinery just re-echoed it last week.
They spoke to our correspondent through their umbrella association, Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria, while reacting to Dangote’s recent revelation on the matter.
CORAN is a registered association of modular and conventional refinery companies in Nigeria. Modular refineries are simplified refineries that require significantly less capital investment than traditional full-scale refineries.
The Publicity Secretary, CORAN, Eche Idoko, said, “You can see that Dangote has raised similar concerns just as we’ve been saying all along about the mafias in the oil sector. These merchants have held the country hostage, especially in the area of our domestic petroleum products’ supply and it is crippling the whole economy.”
Last week, Dangote revealed that both local and international cartels, which he described as “mafia”, made repeated attempts to sabotage the $19bn Dangote Petroleum Refinery project located in Lagos.
“Well, I knew that there would be a fight. But I didn’t know that the mafia in oil, they are stronger than the mafia in drugs. I can tell you that. Yes, it’s a fact,” he said.
Dangote, who described himself as a fighter, said they tried all sorts to stop him. Dangote spoke at the Afreximbank Annual Meetings and AfriCaribbean Trade & Investment Forum in Nassau, The Bahamas.
“As a matter of fact during the COVID period, some of the international banks were looking forward to making sure that they push us into default of our loans so that the project will just be dead. And that didn’t happen with the help of banks like Afreximbank,” the oil firm’s boss had stated.
CORAN explained that the rise in food inflation in Nigeria could also be attributed to the hike in the pump prices of petroleum products, especially PMS, stressing that in-country refining would have helped in tackling these costs.
“The reason why this government hasn’t been able to tackle inflation, especially food inflation in the country is because of the prices of petroleum products. And you can’t keep playing the ostrich,” Idoko stated.
He added, “Yes we understand that if you are in OPEC you can decide to peg the price of your crude to OPEC standard, but in all OPEC-member countries, including Saudi Arabia, Russia, etc, they all have special arrangements internally for their people.
“They have special arrangements for domestic use of crude. Even South Africa has crude oil reserves, but where is Nigeria’s reserves? And I don’t mean oil reserves in the ground that are yet explored, but reserves that are stored somewhere.”
On June 3, 2024, The PUNCH reported that the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Heineken Lokpobiri, declared that Nigeria would continue to comply with crude oil production adjustments approved by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Lokpobiri, who spoke at the 37th OPEC and OPEC+ meeting, had explained that the oil production adjustments by the global oil cartel were meant to stabilise the market.
“Nigeria remains unwavering in its commitment to the agreements made under the Declaration of Cooperation. Our adherence to these production adjustments is crucial for maintaining market balance and supporting global efforts toward sustainable oil market stability,” the minister had stated in a statement.
But CORAN argued that the mafias in the oil sector were fighting Nigeria from attaining self-sufficiency in the domestic refining of crude oil because these persons were profiting from petroleum products’ importation into the country.
“Who is this present government talking with on issues that has to do with supply, energy efficiency and others? Who are they talking with, who are the stakeholders? We have made efforts to meet with the President severally, but every attempt was blocked. Who are those benefitting from the current situation in the country?” the association’s spokesperson stated.
Idoko added, “And if they don’t believe us because we are an association of smaller refineries, at least they have heard Dangote say it now. Who are these people fighting the self-sufficiency in the refining of petroleum products in Nigeria? The Minister of Petroleum, who is actually the President, should speak about this.
“He should tell us what is his principle. Is he looking at creating self-sufficiency in domestic refining of petroleum products or that he wants to continue the regime of petroleum importation? If it means the presidency speaking to Nigerians directly, telling us what their policy thrust is on this matter, then fine.”
Dangote had also during his speech revealed that international oil companies denied him access to their crude because they did not think he could succeed with the 650,000 barrels per day capacity refinery.
“In a system where, for 35 years, people are used to counting good money, and all of a sudden, they see that the days of counting that money have come to an end, you don’t expect them to pray for you. Of course, you expect them to fight back.
“And I think that is the process that we’re now really going through. But the truth is that, yes, the country, the sub-region, and also the continent, of sub-Saharan Africa, need this refinery. So, you expect them to fight through non-supply of crude, non-purchase of the product, but I think it’s all temporary. We’ll get there,” he added.
Also recall that The PUNCH exclusively reported earlier this month that international financiers that were meant to fund the construction of about 20 modular refineries in Nigeria had withheld their funds due to the challenge of getting guarantees for crude oil supply to the facilities when they are completed.
Producers of crude oil in Nigeria, who are largely international oil companies, have not been able to provide guarantees to assure the financiers that crude would be supplied to the modular refineries when the plants are set to produce refined petroleum products.
Based on this, funders of the facilities have held onto their funds pending when the Federal Government would be able to impress it on IOCs to provide the guarantees required for crude oil supply to modular refiners.
Although Nigeria prides itself as the largest crude oil producer in Africa, it exports bulk of its crude to earn foreign exchange, starving domestic refiners who find it tough to source the United States dollar required for the purchase crude.
Nigeria currently has 25 licensed modular refineries. Five of them are operating and producing diesel, kerosene, black oil and naphtha. About 10 are under various stages of completion, while the others have received licences to establish.
Operators of modular refineries had told our correspondent that aside from the five that were in operation currently, the remaining plants were embattled due to the major challenge of crude oil unavailability, a development that has stalled funding from financiers.
“Only about five of our members have completed their refineries. The others are having a major challenge. This challenge is that the people who are supposed to finance them have not disbursed financing for construction because they want some level of guarantee.
“A guarantee that if they finish the refinery, they are going to get feedstock, which, of course, is crude oil,” Idoko had stated.
Efforts to get the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, on Sunday, to speak on the concerns raised by the refinery operators were not successful.
The spokesperson of the commission, Olaide Shonola, could not be reached, as her number was not connecting, while she had yet to respond to a text message sent to her on the subject up till when this report was filed.
However, while responding to the demand for a Conditional Term Sheet by the financiers of modular refiners earlier, the commission stated that it received figures on the production capacities of indigenous refineries and had presented them to crude oil producers to make the commodity available.
NUPRC’s Chief Executive Officer, Gbenga Komolafe, while reacting to a question by our correspondent on the matter, however, stated that the commission would not guarantee supply to refineries that had yet to come into existence.
“This still borders on the implementation of the domestic crude oil obligation. First of all let me make it clear that establishing a refinery of whatever capacity, whether it is a modular refinery or the bigger sized refinery, is a commercial engagement. So the commission can’t come in to give any form of guarantee. I need to make that clear.
“However, the regulator will only implement the provisions of the PIA given that all the regulatory activities of the commission are expected to be in compliance with the provisions of the law. So as it relates to guaranteeing feedstock to refiners, that is enshrined under section 109 of the PIA.
“And what we have just done in furtherance of that provision is that we have put in place a regulation that has to do with domestic crude oil obligation. So in the implementation of that provision, what we do is that we receive the figures on the domestic refining capacity from the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority.
“And once we receive that, our development and production department factors the numbers against the capacities of the various producers within the upstream sector and makes it obligatory for them (crude producers) to meet those numbers, thereby guaranteeing that volume of supply to existing licensed and operating refineries, not refineries that have not come into existence,” Komolafe had explained.
The NUPRC boss had stressed that “we do not guarantee crude for financing of refineries that have not come into existence.”
Recall that the commission recently promised to ensure that crude oil was supplied to domestic refiners
It stated that in compliance with the provisions of Section 109(2) of the Petroleum Industry Act 2021, the NUPRC in a landmark move, had developed a template guiding the activities for Domestic Crude Oil Supply Obligation.
“The commission in conjunction with relevant stakeholders from NNPC Upstream Investment Management Services, representatives of Crude Oil/Condensate Producers, Crude Oil Refinery-Owners Association of Nigeria, and Dangote Petroleum Refinery came up with the template for the buy-in of all.
“This is in a bid to foster a seamless implementation of the DCSO and ensure consistent supply of crude oil to domestic refineries,” Komolafe had stated.
Source: The Punch
Nigerian crude remained steady at $73 after a three-day decline, as concerns grew over Russian supply risks, further intensified by US President Donald Trump’s escalating threats to penalize India for purchasing crude from Moscow, as reported by Nairametrics.
Brent fell below $69 a barrel after losing over 6% in the past three sessions, while West Texas Intermediate hovered near $66 a barrel.
U.S President’s comments about “substantially raising” tariffs on exported Indian goods due to Russian oil imports were an attempt to pressure Moscow into complying with a ceasefire concerning the Ukraine conflict, which drew strong opposition from New Delhi.
The US president issued his most recent warning to India just before his deadline of August 8 for Russia to agree to a truce with Ukraine.
Tass stated that Steve Witkoff, the US Special Envoy, is scheduled to travel to Moscow on Wednesday. After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, India became the largest purchaser of Russian seaborne crude exports, quickly increasing purchases from nearly zero to roughly one-third of imports while snatching up discounted barrels avoided by Western countries. China is a significant buyer of oil from Moscow as well.
India’s ongoing demand for oil keeps Nigerian barrels in high demand, highlighting the impact of global supply chain shifts and new consumption patterns.
Nigeria’s crude oil production increases
The narrowing delta between Brent and Nigerian crude is a sign of increased market competition. A statement released on Monday by Nigeria’s upstream regulator stated that the country’s oil production averaged 1.8 million barrels per day.
Nigeria relies on increased crude oil production to finance its economy; the black viscous hydrocarbon constitutes over 80% of foreign exchange earnings and nearly two-thirds of government revenue.
Gbenga Komolafe of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission said the output rise is from enhanced security measures and is part of an effort to boost oil production from 1 million to 3 million barrels per day.
Nigeria aims to increase its oil output, with a medium-term target of reaching 2.06 million barrels per day by 2027, according to Bayo Ojulari, CEO of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited. He expressed confidence that by December this year, output could reach 1.9 million barrels per day.
Nigeria achieved full operational capacity on its major crude oil pipelines in June, a milestone Ojulari said was the first in many years and signaled improved system reliability and infrastructure security.
OPEC+ members to increase crude oil output
OPEC+ members’ decision to boost crude output at the start of the next month stems from the ongoing recovery of the global economy and fundamental market factors. Data from the August 3 meeting, which involved Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, showed they reaffirmed their commitment not to destabilize the market.
The phased responsive increase marks the fourth monthly hike in the 2.2 million bpd voluntary production cuts introduced in April and November 2023 in a bid to support prices during highly volatile market conditions.
OPEC explicitly supported the participants and quoted, “By the decision agreed upon on 5 December 2024 to start a gradual and flexible return of the 2.2 million barrels per day voluntary adjustments starting from1 April 2025, the eight participating countries will implement a production adjustment of 547 thousand barrels per day in September 2025 from the August 2025 required production level.
” However, industry analysts are increasingly worried that this decision could put downward pressure on oil prices, which would negatively affect Nigeria’s oil revenues.
“Although there is a lot of discussion about tariffs on India, it is clear that there is a possibility that secondary tariffs will also be applied to other buyers,” said Patterson of ING. The more buyers are subject to these tariffs, the more difficult it is for the market to cope with the potential disruption.
If India’s purchases of Russian oil are interrupted, it might have to look for supplies elsewhere. Other OPEC+ countries, those in the Middle East, were able to make up for any potential shortfall, according to a recent note from Rystad Energy. The alliance agreed to start increasing production in September by about 547,000 barrels per day.
The Dangote Petroleum Refinery has once again reduced the depot price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), popularly known as petrol, from N838 to N820 per litre, as crude oil prices continue to decline and competition intensifies in Nigeria’s downstream market.
This latest price adjustment – an 18 naira drop – follows a broader trend in the domestic fuel market, triggered by a fall in global crude prices to $70 per barrel, down from over $77 in June 2025. The easing of geopolitical tensions, particularly the ceasefire in the Israel-Iran conflict, has contributed significantly to the dip in crude prices, thereby affecting refined product pricing globally.
Other key operators have also revised their depot prices, albeit marginally, in response to the shifting market dynamics. Data from PetrolPrice.com revealed that while Dangote made the most significant cut, other companies made smaller reductions:
Fatgbems: N837/litre (from N838), Integrated: N836/litre (from N837), Bovas: N836/litre (from N837), AIPEC: N837/litre (from N840) and First Royal: Maintained N838/litre.
In an interview with Vanguard, Olatide Jeremiah, CEO of PetrolPrice.ng, noted: “We are seeing a lot of dynamics in both global and domestic markets. With the ceasefire in the Israel-Iran conflict, crude oil prices have dropped to about $70 per barrel from over $77. Consequently, operators in the domestic market have adjusted accordingly. We look forward to more price changes in the coming weeks.”
This is not the first time Dangote Refinery has responded swiftly to international oil market shifts. In recent weeks, the refinery had cut the gantry price of petrol by 4.5%, bringing it down to N840 from N880 per litre, as oil prices slipped to $67.50 per barrel.
Nigeria’s fuel market has remained volatile in recent months, with petrol prices largely influenced by international crude trends due to the deregulation of the downstream sector. While Dangote’s refinery has played a stabilising role since it began domestic supply, volatility in crude benchmarks like Brent and Nigeria’s Bonny Light – which recently dropped from $80 to $68 per barrel – continues to impact product pricing.
The drop in depot prices may not immediately translate into a corresponding reduction at the pump for motorists due to other cost components like transportation, margins, and taxes. However, the move is expected to ease pressure on marketers and potentially curb further hikes in retail fuel prices, especially in the face of persistent inflation and currency instability.
With Dangote’s massive refining capacity and growing influence in Nigeria’s energy market, its pricing decisions are increasingly becoming benchmarks for others. The continued drop in depot prices could provide a cushion for consumers battling with high transportation and living costs.
Still, analysts warn that unless Nigeria’s forex volatility and logistics challenges are resolved, retail fuel prices will remain vulnerable to global oil market fluctuations. As more refined products hit the market from the Dangote Refinery and as international oil prices stabilise further, stakeholders are optimistic about a more predictable pricing regime in the coming months.
As the landing price undergoes a significant revision, Nigerians will face a new petrol pump price across the country.
Dangote Refinery has made a significant announcement regarding its pricing strategy by deciding to cease the sale of petroleum products in Nigerian naira.
As a major player in the oil and gas sector, this decision may have wider implications for the market, including fluctuations in fuel prices and impacts on consumers and businesses reliant on stable petroleum costs. Continue Reading.
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The price of importing premium motor spirit, commonly referred to as petrol, into Nigeria has risen to N885 per litre, an increase from the N797 per litre recorded just last week.
The Major Energy Marketers Association of Nigeria (MEMAN) confirmed this rise in its daily energy bulletin released on Wednesday. This marks an increase of N88 per litre within a week.
With this increase, petrol prices at filling stations may soon go beyond N1,000 per litre, up from the current range of N940 to N970 per litre.
Currently, the landing cost of petrol stands at N797 per litre, while Dangote Refinery’s ex-depot price is N815 per litre. This has resulted in retail prices at MRS filling stations in Lagos and Abuja ranging from N860 to N880 per litre.
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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited has made a reduction to its ex-depot price of Premium Motor Spirit, commonly known as petrol, decreasing it from N1,020 to N899 per liter.
This decision, coming days after the Dangote Refinery reduced its price to N899, was confirmed by the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria in a statement released on Saturday.
The statement signed by the association’s National Public Relations Officer, Dr Joseph Obele, and quoting a document released by NNPCL’s Commercial Department indicates a reduction based on the regional pricing scheme.
The price indicated that marketers would buy the product at N899 per litre, matching the price offered by the Dangote refinery a few days ago.
Marketers purchasing from Warri, Oghara, Port Harcourt and Calabar will, however, pay N970 per litre to offtake products.
The statement read, “The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited has taken a significant step in response to the competitive impact of deregulation in the downstream sector.
“The company recently reduced the ex-depot price of Premium Motor Spirit from N1,020 to N899 per litre.
“The price reduction by NNPCL is seen as a response to the competitive impact of deregulation, which has led to increased competition in the downstream sector.”
Obele noted that the price reduction by the national oil firm is seen as a response to the competitive impact of deregulation, which has led to increased competition in the downstream sector.
He also expressed optimism that PMS prices will drop further before the end of January 2025, given the global decline in crude oil prices and the naira’s recent gain against the dollar.
Obele described the trend as a price war while he emphasized that the price reduction by Dangote Refinery and NNPCL demonstrates the benefits of competition and advocates for the immediate privatization of government-owned refineries.
The move is expected to spark a price war among oil marketers, ultimately benefiting consumers.
However, the NNPCL spokesperson, Femi Soneye, is yet to confirm this development.
Reacting to this development, the National President of PETROAN, Billy Harry, said the price reduction is a welcome development that will bring relief to motorists and Nigerians during the holiday season.
He said, “The reduction in PMS price by NNPCL is a demonstration of the company’s commitment to making petroleum products more affordable for Nigerians.
“We commend NNPCL for responding to our call for affordable PMS prices.”
He also listed the benefits of the price reduction to consumers, including “Reduced transportation costs: With lower PMS prices, motorists will spend less on fuel, leading to increased disposable income.
“Increased economic activity: Lower fuel prices will stimulate economic growth by reducing production costs and increasing demand for goods and services.
“Improved standard of living: The price reduction will lead to a decrease in the cost of living, enabling Nigerians to afford necessities and enjoy a better quality of life.”
Harry also commended Dangote Refinery for its earlier price reduction, which he said had helped to stimulate competition in the downstream sector.
The PETROAN national official also hinted at a report submitted by PETROAN’s technical pricing team, warning that competitive pricing can lead to compromised product quality.
He further urged the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority to ensure compliance with quality assurance standards.
“PETROAN is calling on the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority to ensure compliance with quality assurance standards which may arise due to competitive pricing,” he added.
Heineken Lokpobiri, minister of state for petroleum resources (oil), says Nigeria will conform with the production quota set by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
On June 2, OPEC extended Nigeria’s production quota of 1.5 million barrels of crude per day (bpd) to 2025.
OPEC said Nigeria should maintain the production level till December 31, 2025.
The oil cartel increased Nigeria’s production level to 1.5 million bpd for 2024 at its ministerial meeting on November 30, 2023.
However, Nigeria has been producing below the quota.
Speaking after OPEC’s 56th joint ministerial monitoring committee (JMMC) on October 2, the minister said Nigeria remains fully committed to the objectives of the body’s declaration of cooperation (DoC).
“Nigeria remains fully committed to the objectives of the DoC, and I can confidently confirm that our country is in conformity with the agreed production limits,” he said.
“While we continue to ramp up production in line with our national interests, we are doing so within the framework of OPEC’s guidelines, as we remain committed to balancing responsible production with our economic goals, and continue to meet our obligations under the DoC.”
OPEC RETAINS PRODUCTION OUTPUT POLICY
At the meeting, the oil cartel and its allies, known as OPEC+, retained its oil output policy, including a plan to start raising output in December.
According to a statement by OPEC, the group reviewed the crude oil production data for the months of July and August 2024 as well as current market conditions.
“During the meeting, the Republic of Iraq, the Republic of Kazakhstan, and the Russian Federation confirmed that they had achieved full conformity and compensation according to the schedules submitted for September,” the oil cartel said.
OPEC said the three countries reiterated their resolve to maintain full conformity and compensation throughout the remaining period of the agreement.
Final estimates of September’s crude oil production levels, according to the oil cartel, would be based on authorised secondary sources that would be accessible by the second week of October.
The oil alliance added that it will provide production figures for the nations that are part of the declaration of cooperation (DoC).
“The committee noted the three separate technical workshops between representatives from the Republic of Iraq, the Republic of Kazakhstan, and the Russian Federation and the secondary sources,” OPEC said.
“The meeting was aimed at discussing September production details and submitting their revised compensation plans that include the August overproduction as per the submitted plans to the OPEC Secretariat while also emphasising the need for some members to make further cuts to compensate for overproduction.
“The JMMC emphasised the critical importance of achieving full conformity and compensation. It will continue to monitor adherence to the production adjustments agreed upon at the 37th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting (ONOMM) held on 2 June 2024.
“The Committee will also continue to monitor the additional voluntary production adjustments announced by some participating OPEC and non OPEC countries as agreed upon in the 52nd JMMC held on 1 February 2024.”
Furthermore, according to OPEC, the committee would continuously assess market conditions.
OPEC said the next meeting of the JMMC is scheduled for December 1, 2024.
Petroleum marketers have raised an alarm that the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, NNPCL, portal used for the purchase of Premium Motor Spirit (Petrol) has been shut down against dealers, making it impossible to apply for the commodity.
The spokesperson of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Chinedu Ukadike disclosed this in a statement on Wednesday.
According to him, marketers have more than 2,000 pending tickets for the purchasing of 45,000 liters of petrol.
He hinted that the situation may lead to another round of fuel scarcity nationwide.
“I can’t confirm the price now because the portal is still shut down.
“We have more than 2,000 tickets for 45,000 liters (of petrol). That is 45,000 multiplied by 2,000, you can now know the number of million liters it will be. This is just an estimate, you know I don’t work with NNPCL and I don’t know what is on their system,” Ukadike stated.
He added that a 45,000-litre truckload of PMS is around N39.5 million, making N79 billion when multiplied by 2,000.
Reacting to the development, the spokesperson of NNPCL, Olufemi Soneye admitted that the state-owned firm has a significant backlog to address.
He said that the portal closure was intended to prevent the company from holding marketers’ funds for an extended period.
Soneye assured that the portal would soon be reopened; however, he failed to state the date when it would happen.
“We have a significant backlog to address. The closure is intended to prevent us from holding marketers’ funds for an extended period,” Soneye had explained.
“It will be reopened once the backlog has been sufficiently reduced. We are working to address it as soon as possible,” he stated.
The development comes as Nigerians struggle with high energy costs.
Recall that NNPCL in September 2024 announced a fresh price increase for petrol nationwide after lifting the product from Dangote Refinery.
Nigerians currently buy petrol between N950 and N1,100 per liter nationwide.
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